I know many individuals, forex traders in particular, longing to have the LMAX data feed as an exchange option. Please add them! :)
submitted by Are there any retail brokers out there that provide a FIX API, specifically for Forex trading? TD Ameritrade looks like it only offers a REST API. I know LMAX does, but their capital requirements and fees may be a bit too high for me. Does anyone know if there is a huge difference between them if I am just starting out (I know this is probably strategy dependent)? Is it worth it to try and use FIX or should I just start out with IB/TD?
(I also understand that a good amount of crypto exchanges offer a FIX API, but I am specifically asking for Forex trading)
submitted by We have an expression in Sweden which translated directly to English becomes “Aim for the stars and you might end up in the tree tops.”. This is my attempt at giving us some new stars to take aim for.
I will start by saying that I’m 100 % in OMG and that this is not a technical analysis of the future price movement, nor is it an analysis of OmiseGO’s potential of delivering what they have promised. This is simply a new way of looking at the future rewards to the stakers of OMG.
Secondly, this is not a finished product and the approximations that I’ve done can surely be improved by people with more knowledge than me about the subjects. I welcome everyone to correct my mistakes and/or add their knowledge.
The reason that I’ve spent the time to research this subject is that I believe that most speculators in this forum are looking at the wrong parameters when trying to calculate future staking returns. They are looking at volume and speculating on which percentage that OMG will take of that volume; I think that we instead should be looking at the number of transactions. The cost of a simple transaction of value from one part to another on a blockchain (Ethereum or OMG) is, as far as I know, not dependent on the size of the value. I believe that the OMG blockchain will have a dynamic fee structure where buying an apple or buying a car will cost the same amount in transaction fees (although payment companies on top of the OMG blockchain might take a fixed percentage for their services, but that won’t affect us OMG stakers).
If my assumption above is correct, then we need to figure out how many transactions that OMG might process. So, how many transactions are we talking here? Well, I’ve started now by looking at four different areas of value transactions:
- Every day purchases
- Stock exchange
- Money transfers
- Forex market
Every day purchases These are transactions where people use cash or card to purchase some item (buying fruit or a computer). Now, the exact number is impossible to find but we can get some good approximations. According to the 2016 Nilson report there was 227 billion card transactions during 2015 worldwide. [1] But, as we all know, OmiseGO’s plan stretches also to the unbanked and the cash payments. According to Raconteur 85 % of the worlds transactions are still done in cash. [2] Simple math tells us then that
A*0.15 = 227 billion -> A = (227 billion)/0.15 = 1.51 trillion payment transactions every year.
[This is of course not 100 % accurate since in the parts of the world where there is the least amount of card transactions there is also probably a lot fewer transactions overall. However, I think that we at least are at the right order of magnitude.]
Stock exchange All the world’s stock exchanges could be rebuilt on top of the OMG blockchain in a more efficient way than before. So, how many transactions is that? This is a hard number to get ahold of and my estimate will probably end up being too low since many transactions never get registered outside of the trading houses. For example: a trading house can make 1 trade on the exchange where it buys 10,000.00 off Stock A, but then it sells it too 100 of their own customers. This last data is the hardest to get ahold of even if the trade data from the exchanges are almost impossible to find as well. According to Nasdaq there is an average of 10.5 million transactions per day on their exchange. [3] Now, The Money Project has published an infographic showing the worlds largest stock exchanges in relative volume to each other and the whole world market; it says that Nasdaq has a 10.79 % share of a global market of $69 trillion. [4] If we assume that there is a linear correlation between volume and number transactions for all the worlds stock exchanges, then we can assume that Nasdaq’s volume percentage of 10.78 is also it’s transactions percentage in relation to the worlds stock markets. This means that the global number of stock transactions is annually
B = (252*10.5 million)/0.1078 = $24.5 billion. [The number 252 in the equation is the average number of trading days per year.]
Money transfer Pure money transfer transactions. One of the leading actors on that market is Western Union which, according to Forbes holds a 15 % market share with 231 million transactions per year. [5] This leads us to the approximation that the total market sees
C = (231*10 million)/0.15 = 1.54 billion transactions every year.
Forex market Now, the forex market is definitely the hardest one to find information about. I posted in
/Forex and they were helpful but told me that exact figures would be impossible to find. [6] However, much in the same manner as with the stock markets I was able to reach an approximation which others will have to judge if it’s fair or not. According to the CEO of LMAX exchange they print 1.5 million trades per day [7] which I will use as 1 trade = 1 transaction (same with the stock market) which gives them
252*1.5 million = 378 million transactions per year.
The website Leaprate.com has reported that LMAX has an average monthly volume of $175 billion [8] which ends up being $2.1 trillion per year. Let’s say that a linear correlation between number of trades and volume exists over all exchanges on the global forex market, again as we did with the stock market. This means that
378 million / ”Number of forex transactions globally” = $2.1 trillion/”$Global forex annual volume”.
The number of transactions globally is therefore
D = 378 million/($2.1 trillion/”$Global forex annual volume”)
with the variable being the annual total volume on the global forex market. According to Businessinsider.com the daily global volume is on average $5.1 trillion [9] which means that the annual volume is 252*$5.1 trillion = $1290 trillion which gives us the number of transactions annually on the global Forex market to be
D = 231 billion.
Total number of transactions and what that means in regard to staking The total number of transactions E = A + B + C + D = 1.51 trillion + 24.5 billion + 1.54 billion + 231 billion = 1.77 trillion transactions every year.
If anyone wants to do their own calculations and only include certain percentages of the different markets then of course it is easy to add these percentages before their respected market in the equation above. I however, will calculate staking returns based on the premise that 100 % of these markets will be built and thrive on top of the OMG blockchain.
The equation for the returns of every OMG staked is pretty easy:
$/omg/year = Number of transaction per year*transaction fee / Number of coins staked .
The question is of course: what will the transaction fee be? No one can say, but I will use the transaction fee for the Ethereum network as a benchmark. The transaction fees on the Ethereum network varies but a recent low average has been around $0.2 per transaction. [10] Number of staked coins has also been up for debate at various times; 60 % has been thrown around and I’ll use that.
Case 1: OMG blockchain charge as much as the Ethereum blockchain does right now $/omg/year = 1.77 trillion*0.2 / 0.6*140 million = $4,214.29
Case 2: OMG blockchain charge 10 % of what Ethereum blockchain does right now $/omg/year = 1.77 trillion*0.1*0.2 / 0.6*140 million = $421.43
Case 3: OMG blockchain charge 1 % of what Ethereum blockchain does right now $/omg/year = 1.77 trillion*0.01*0.2 / 0.6*140 million = $42.14
Again, I would like to invite anyone here to help me and point out any faults in my calculations, approximations and/or assumptions. However, could you also do the new calculations and add your proposed staking returns? I am a full-time student so hopefully the edits can happen in the comments instead of by me. Thanks!
References [1]
https://www.nilsonreport.com/publication_special_feature_article.php [2]
https://www.raconteur.net/technology/the-decline-of-cash [3]
http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/Trader.aspx?id=DailyMarketSummary [4]
http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-stock-exchanges-by-size/ [5]
https://www.forbes.com/sites/hilarykrame2013/05/10/wu-stock-report/#45eefb5b7771 [6]
https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/7exyzn/does_statistics_exist_regarding_number_of_trades/ [7]
https://www.lmax.com/blog/business-and-technology/2013/07/05/average-trade-size-declines-spot-fx/ [8]
https://www.leaprate.com/forex/institutional/lmax-revenues-20-2016-27-7-million-monthly-volumes-175-billion/ [9]
http://www.businessinsider.com/heres-how-much-currency-is-traded-every-day-2016-9?r=US&IR=T&IR=T [10]
https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/ethereum-transactionfees.html#3m Hi all, so now that the GV team has announced a partnership with Lmax Digital to broker crypto asset trading on Genesis markets, do you guys think that GV will partner up with Lmax for forex and for other investment instruments as well? E.G. On the same tier as Larson and Holz?
submitted by LMAX Exchange is a forex and CFD trading venue that offers its customers direct access to institutional liquidity. The biggest advantage of the exchange to any ECN broker is, in our view, the fact that it offers complete pre- and post-trade transparency. Lmax is a forex broker. Lmax offers the MT4, MT5, Mobile and WebTrader forex trading top platform. Lmax.com offers over 100 forex currency pairs, cfds, gold, silver, oil, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies for your personal investment and trading options. YES - FCA UK, MiFID (LMAX Global is a trading name of LMAX Broker Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (Firm Reference Number 783200) and is a company registered in England and Wales (number 10819525). LMAX Global is part of the LMAX Exchange Group. LMAX Group is a global financial technology company, which operates a leading institutional exchange for FX and delivers transparent, fair, precise and consistent execution a level playing field to all market participants. LMAX Global is an FCA regulated Broker for FX and part of the LMAX Exchange Group. LMAX Global offers brokers and professional traders the ability to trade on the LMAX Exchange central limit order book, offering tighter spreads on streaming firm liquidity from top tier banks and proprietary trading firms.
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